How We Calculate Gas Station Fuel Demand
The study is built by Ticon’s fuel demand team, which forecasts site-level gasoline and diesel demand for fuel distributors and station owners. The method is published in research on c-store and gas station visitor rates, and it runs in four steps:
- Count the vehicles passing the site each month, for every direction of every road.
- Apply the visitor rate: the share of passing drivers who stop, adjusted for access, visibility and competition.
- Split cars and trucks, and take the share of each that buys fuel and the average fill: about 9.5 gallons for a car, far more for a truck.
- Split the gallons by grade from regional vehicle data, price each grade at local prices, and apply the margin.
In the sample, a corner with 11,795 vehicles a day comes out at about 102,900 gallons a month. Your own figures, such as fueling positions, prices and margin, replace the defaults wherever you send them.
Competition is the check on that number. Every gas station, c-store and car wash within 5 miles is listed with its distance and services, and the level of service says how many residents each station has: the fewer stations per person around your site compared with the county and the state, the more room there is for one more.




